Asiedu Nketia Leads NDC Flagbearer Race as Ato Forson Closes Gap | Discuss Ghana

In a significant update to Ghana’s political landscape, the latest tracking poll from Global InfoAnalytics, released on Monday, April 13, 2026, reveals that Johnson Asiedu Nketia remains the frontrunner in the race to lead the National Democratic Congress (NDC) for the 2028 elections. However, the poll highlights a narrowing gap as Finance Minister Dr. Cassiel Ato Forson gains momentum.

The survey was conducted between March 31 and April 9, 2026, polling nearly 10,400 delegates across all 16 regions.


The Current Standings (April 2026)

The poll indicates a tightening race among the party's top hierarchy:

Johnson Asiedu Nketia (National Chairman): 29% (Down from a 16-point lead in previous baselines).

Dr. Cassiel Ato Forson (Finance Minister): 19% (Closing the gap to 10 points).

Haruna Iddrisu (MP, Tamale South): 11%.

Julius Debrah: 8%.

Jane Naana Opoku-Agyemang (Vice President): 8%.

Undecided Voters: A massive 24% of delegates remain uncommitted, suggesting the race is far from settled.


Key Takeaways from the Data

The Ato Forson Surge: The Finance Minister has successfully cut Asiedu Nketia's lead from 16 percentage points to just 10. Analysts suggest he is winning over previously undecided delegates and gaining favor among floating voters.

Job Concerns: A striking 78% of NDC grassroots members expressed deep concern over the lack of job opportunities, which appears to be a driving factor in how delegates are weighing their options for the 2028 ticket.

Regional Dynamics: While Asiedu Nketia maintains a lead in the majority of regions, his advantage over Haruna Iddrisu has also slightly dipped from 20 to 18 points.


Political Context: The 2028 Horizon

CandidateStrengthChallenge
Asiedu NketiaDeep grassroots roots and incumbency as Chairman.Narrowing lead and pressure to deliver "immediate" economic results.
Ato ForsonHigh visibility as Finance Minister; popular with floating voters.Managing the current economic fallout from global oil price surges.
Haruna IddrisuStrong support in swing regions and among core Northern delegates.Currently trailing the top two in national delegate polling.

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